10/8/2018

CHINA/IMF/TARIFFS/TRADE WAR/TRUMP AS PRESIDENT: “The trade war is set to take its toll on the American and Chinese economies in 2019. The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday [10-9-18] cut its growth forecasts for the United States and China, citing the recent waves of tariffs the world’s top two economies have imposed on each other. The more pessimistic forecast comes as the clash between Washington and Beijing threatens to keep escalating and cause damage in other countries…Despite healthy momentum in the United States, which received a boost from recent tax cuts, IMF economists now expect growth to slow to 2.5% next year from 2.9% this year. They cut the 2019 forecast by 0.2 percentage points because of the trade conflict. The Trump administration has slapped tariffs this year on roughly half of the products that China sells to the United States annually. President Donald Trump has threatened to expand the tariffs to cover all US imports from China. Beijing has responded with tariffs on American goods worth more than $110 billion. The tit-for-tat is set to take a bite out of Beijing’s economic growth next year, too. China’s growth is now expected to drop to 6.2%, from 6.6% this year, according to the IMF. The new 2019 forecast is 0.2 percentage points lower than the fund’s previous forecast, reflecting the waves of new tariffs that have taken effect since then.”

Donna Borak, “The trade war will hit US and Chinese growth next year, the IMF warns,” CNN Politics, CNN.com, October 8, 2018 11:17 pm