4/30/2018

DEMS/ELECTION/GOP/HOUSE OF REPS/TRUMP AS PRESIDENT: “While Democrats came up short in last Tuesday’s 4-24-18] Arizona special election — losing by fewer than five points in a district Donald Trump carried by 21 points — the results offer yet another sign the party still holds the energy edge heading into November’s midterm election. As we approach a cluttered stretch of the primary calendar, the results from those contests — and the next wave of campaign fundraising reports in June — will help to clarify the Democratic Party’s prospects this fall. That deadline will offer a good idea of whether Democrats can maintain momentum. More than three dozen Democratic House candidates outraised Republican incumbents for the second quarter in a row after the most recent filing.Trump’s national approval rating, meanwhile, continues to hover around 40%, which poses an additional challenge for GOP candidates running this year. With all that in mind, we are moving a dozen Republican held House districts to a more competitive rating. Each race below is moving in the direction of the Democrats even though the Republican remains favored in all of them.”

Terence Burlij, “CNN House Key Race alerts: A dozen GOP-held seats get more competitive,” CNN Politics, CNN.com, April 30, 2018 4:31 pm