11/28/2018

DEMS/ELECTION/SENATE/TRUMP AS PRESIDENT: “Senate Democrats face a narrow path back to the majority in the 2020 elections, running through Trump country in a year when the president will be on the ballot galvanizing his supporters. Republicans cemented a 53-47 Senate majority with victory in Mississippi on Tuesday [11-26-18], and they must defend nearly twice as many seats in 2020 as they did in 2018. But only two of those Republicans are up for reelection in states President Donald Trump lost in 2016 — meaning that Democrats can’t win back the Senate without winning new seats in Trump states in the next election. That includes some Trump-state targets where it’s been a decade or more since voters picked a Democratic senator. Democrats will need to find candidates who can outrun their presidential nominee, as Trump drives his supporters to the polls in 2020. What’s more, those Democrats will likely need to overcome incumbent Republican senators, which has proven a tough hurdle in recent years.”

James Arkin, “Democrats face Trump-state gauntlet to take Senate in 2020,” Politico, November 28, 2018 5:12 am