5/9/2018

FOREIGN POLICY/IRAN/IRAQ/TRUMP AS PRESIDENT/WAR: “Fifteen years after invading Iraq over weapons of mass destruction and ties to al Qaeda that both proved non-existent, the United States is again steering toward a possible confrontation with a Middle East power for suspected work on nuclear weapons and support for terrorism. U.S. President Donald Trump’s Iran policy sounds hauntingly familiar to some current and former U.S. officials who witnessed the buildup to the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, where sectarian and ethnic fractures and some 5,000 U.S. troops still remain. More than 4,400 U.S. troops and hundreds of thousands of Iraqis died in the conflict, which many analysts have called one of the major U.S. foreign policy debacles of modern times. ‘There are disturbing and eerie similarities’ in the misuse of intelligence then and now, said Paul Pillar, who was the top U.S. intelligence analyst for the Middle East from 2001 to 2005…While Trump’s move on Tuesday [5-8-18] ratcheted up regional tensions and widened a rift with U.S. allies in Europe, no one is predicting an American invasion of Iran.”

-Warren Strobel, “Trump’s Iran move reminds some of run-up to Iraq war,” Reuters, May 9, 2018 10:08 pm